|
|
Statistical Factoids
|
|
| Frequentists and Bayesians | |
| There is a continuing debate among statisticians over the proper definition of "probability." | |
| "Probabilistics" | |
| There is more to Monte Carlo simulation than replacing constants with probability densities. | |
| Bivariate Normal | |
| Here is a simple algorithm for sampling from a bivariate normal distribution. | |
| Goodness-of-Fit | |
| Goodness-of-Fit tests, like Anderson-Darling, tell you when you don't have a normal distribution. | |
| R-squared ... | |
| ... is an often misused goodness-of-fit metric, where bigger isn't always better. | |
| Other Measures | |
| R-squared isn't the only way to judge how well the model works. | |
| Curse of Dimensionality | |
| Direct-sampling Monte Carlo requires the number of samples per variable to increase exponentially with the number of variables to maintain a given level of accuracy. | |
| convergence in distribution | |
| We engineers are familiar with convergence to a point, but what of convergence to a distribution? | |
| extreme value distributions | |
| The largest, or smallest, observation in a sample has one of three possible distributions. This is another example of "convergence in distribution." | |
| Joint, Marginal, and Conditional Probability | |
| We engineers often ignore the distinctions between joint, marginal, and conditional probabilities - to our detriment. | |
| Correlation | |
| When the correlation between two variables is zero, they're not related. Right? Wrong! | |
| Outliers ... | |
| Often infuriating, these can be very informative too. | |
| Wrong Grid? | |
| Choosing the wrong grid can undermine your analysis, mislead your audience, and make you look foolish. | |
| Bayesian Thinking | |
| ... including an example from NDE | |
| InterOcular Trauma Test | |
| Sometimes the best Goodness-of-Fit test is the easiest. | |
| Central Limit Theorem | |
| Why is the Average of nearly anything always Normal ? | |
| Bayesian Updating | |
| We use Bayesian Statistics every day without knowing it. | |
| Sums of Random Variables | |
| Sometimes you need to know the distribution of some combination of things. Here's an example. | |
| Distributional Inter-relationships | |
| There are myriad probability distributions. But did you know that most are related to one another, and ultimately related to the Normal? | |
| Bootstrapping | |
| Bootstrap and Jackknife algorithms don't really give you something for nothing. They give you something you previously ignored. | |
| Bartlett correction (external link) | |
| A Bartlett correction is a scalar
transformation applied to the likelihood ratio statistic that yields an improved test
statistic with chi-squared null distribution of order O(1/n), as compared with order O(1)
for the LR.
|
|
![]() |
Mail to Charles.Annis@StatisticalEngineering.com |