Themes
- "It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly
one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."
- Sherlock Holmes, "A Scandal in Bohemia" by Sir
Arthur Conan Doyle
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"Far better an approximate answer to the right question,
which is often vague, than an exact answer to the wrong question, which
can always be made precise." - John Tukey
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"To consult the statistician after an experiment is
finished is often
merely to ask him to conduct a post mortem examination. He can
perhaps say what the experiment died of." - R.A. Fisher, 1938
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Planning a statistical analysis after you've collected
the data is like developing plans for a structure after you've purchased
the materials.
- "If it disagrees with experiment,
it is wrong." - Richard Feynman
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"Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it,
doesn't go away." - Philip K. Dick
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No! Try not! Do, or do not. There is no "try." - Jedi Master Yoda
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Opportunity doesn't knock. It whispers.
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Don't worry about people stealing your ideas. If your
ideas are any good, you'll have to ram them down people's throats. -
Howard Aiken
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"If you want to make enemies, try to change something."
- Woodrow Wilson
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A job not worth doing is not worth doing well.
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"The combination of some data and an
aching desire for an answer does not ensure that a reasonable answer can
be extracted from a given body of data." - John Tukey
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Action speaks louder than words but not nearly as often.
- Mark Twain
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There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact
- Sherlock Holmes (The Boscombe Valley Mystery)
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In earlier times, they had no statistics, and so they
had to fall back on lies. - unknown
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For many people knowledge has the remarkable power of producing
confidence instead of measureable aptitude. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb in
The Black Swan (2007)
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A couple of months in the laboratory can frequently save
a couple of hours in the library. - unknown
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You can pretend to be serious; you can't pretend to be witty. - Sacha Guitry
(1885-1957) French film actor, director, screenwriter and playwright
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The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one
that heralds new discoveries, is not "Eureka!" but "That's funny ..."
- Isaac Asimov
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Often the choice is not between what you want and what
you don't want. It's between what you don't want and what you
REALLY don't want.
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There is none so blind as he who will not see. - unknown
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"Nobody can make you feel inferior without your
permission." - Eleanor Roosevelt
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Words that soak into your ears are whispered ... not yelled. - unknown
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Prejudice is being down on something you're not up on. - unknown
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If something cannot go on forever, it will stop. -
Herbert Stein
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"Put the federal government in charge of the Sahara
Desert and in five years there'd be a sand shortage." - Milton Friedman
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"A man convinced against his will ... is of the same opinion still." - L.C. Annis (1864-1940)
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Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder. - Arnold Toynbee
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"First they came for the socialists, and I did not speak
out because I was not a socialist.
Then they came for the trade
unionists, and I did not speak out because I was not a trade unionist.
Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out because I was not a
Jew.
Then they came for me, and there was no one left to speak for
me."
- Pastor Martin Niemöller (1892-1984), 1945.
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"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men
living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of
time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that justifies
it." - Frédéric Bastiat
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Tolerance becomes a crime when applied to evil. - Thomas Mann (1875 - 1955)
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An "activist" is a vain, self-involved person who
engages in activities designed to call attention to himself, under the
guise of helping someone else.
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Human beings, who are almost unique in having the
ability to learn from the experience of others, are also remarkable for
their apparent disinclination to do so. - Douglas Adams
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"Some ideas seem so plausible that they can fail nine
times in a row and still be believed the tenth time. Other ideas
seem so implausible that they can succeed nine times in a row and still
not be believed the tenth time. Government controls in the economy
are among the first kinds of ideas and the operation of a free market is
among the second kinds of ideas." - Thomas Sowell
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"However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally
look at the results." - attributed to Winston Churchill
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A meta-theorem in numerical linear algebra is that if your
algorithm involves finding the inverse of a matrix then you need a better algorithm.
- Douglas Bates
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"I think it’s important, in reporting a development
effort, to indicate what you tried that didn’t work as well as what you
tried that did work." - Frederick Brooks, author of The Mythical
Man-Month
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Direction is more important than speed. - anonymous
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"A major source of objection to a free economy is
precisely that it [...] gives people what they want instead of what a
particular group thinks they ought to want. Underlying most
arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom
itself." - Milton Friedman (1912 - 2006)
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My choice early in life was either to be a piano-player in a whorehouse
or a politician. And to tell the truth, there's hardly any
difference. - Harry S. Truman
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All models are wrong but some are useful. -
George E. P. Box
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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take." - Wayne
Gretzky
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A soft answer turneth away wrath ... - Proverbs 15:1
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If a theory cannot produce a testable prediction, then
it isn't science; it's philosophy. - unknown
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"... if a technology is commercially viable, then
government support is not needed; and if a technology is not
commercially viable, no amount of government support will make it so." -
Thomas H. Lee, Ben C. Ball, Jr., and Richard D. Tabors, Energy
Aftermath (Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1990), pp. 167
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I may not be the richest man on earth. Or the
smartest. Or the handsomest. - Homer J. Simpson
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"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of
tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are
intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against
the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed,
and tolerance with them" - Karl Popper, in "The Open Society and its
Enemies" (1945)
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"Success is that happy feeling you get in the time
between you do something and the time you tell a woman what you did." -
Dilbert (Scott Adams)
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Never argue with an idiot; they'll drag you down to their level and beat you with experience. - anonymous
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"You can't no more teach what you ain't learned than you can come from where you ain't been." - attributed to Mark Twain
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Re: Diversified investing. If you know nothing
about poisonous snakes, keeping several species won't make you any
safer. - Michael Kaplan, reviewing "Risk Intelligence" by David Apgar in
the Dec 8, 2006 WSJ
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"If everybody's thinking alike, somebody isn't
thinking." - George S. Patton
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Sometimes I lie awake at night, and ask, "Where have I
gone wrong?" Then a voice says to me, "This is going to take more than
one night." - Charlie Brown
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"Not everything that counts can be counted, and not
everything that can be counted counts." - index card tacked to
Einstein's office wall
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"Resentment is like taking poison and waiting for the
other person to die." - Malachy McCourt
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"Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from
here?"
"That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,"
said the Cat.
"I don't much care where." said Alice.
"Then it
doesn't matter which way you go." said the Cat.
- Lewis Carroll, Alice's
Adventures in Wonderland
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"Contradictions do not exist. Whenever you think you are facing a
contradiction, check your premises. You will find that one of them is wrong." - Ayn Rand
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"It is the Soldier, not the reporter who has given us
the freedom of the press. It is the Soldier, not the poet, who has
given us the freedom of speech. It is the Soldier, not the campus
organizer, who gives us the freedom to demonstrate. It is the
Soldier who salutes the flag, who serves beneath the flag, and whose
coffin is draped by the flag, who allows the protester to burn the
flag." - Father Denis Edward O'Brien, Sergeant, USMC (1923 - 2002)
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"These are not the droids you are looking for." - Obi-Wan
Kenobi
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Never attribute to malice what can be explained by
stupidity.
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Of all things, good sense is the most fairly
distributed: everyone thinks he is so well supplied with it that even
those who are the hardest to satisfy in every other respect never desire
more of it than they already have. - René Descartes (Discours de la
Méthode, 1637)
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These data do not support the hypothesis. Well ...
The first one does, but the second and third don't, now the fourth ... -
unknown
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"He who would do good to another must do it in minute
particulars. General good is the plea of the scoundrel, hypocrite
and flatterer." - William Blake (1757-1827)
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Hofstadter's Law - It always takes longer than you
expect, even when you take Hofstadter's Law into account. - Douglas
Hofstadter: Gödel, Escher, Bach: An Eternal Golden Braid (1979)
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"In theory, there is no difference between theory and
practice. In practice, there is." - attributed to many
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"Advice is what we ask for when we already know the
answer, but wish we didn't." - Erica Jong
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"Any man who is under 30, and is not a liberal, has no
heart; and any man who is over 30, and is not a conservative, has no
brains." attributed to Sir Winston Churchill (1874-1965)
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Always do right. This will gratify some and
astonish the rest. - Mark Twain (1835-1910)
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"All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for
good men to do nothing." - Edmund Burke (1729-1797)
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The difference between men and women is that, if given
the choice between saving the life of an infant or catching a fly ball,
a woman will automatically choose to save the infant, without even
considering if there's a man on base. - Dave Barry
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I find that in contemplating the natural world my
pleasure is greater if there are not too may others contemplating it
with me at the same time. - Edward Abbey
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Never express yourself more clearly than you are able to
think. - Niels Bohr
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A person who has a cat by the tail knows a whole lot
more about cats than someone who has just read about them. - Mark Twain
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Don't be so humble - you are not that great. - Golda
Meir (1898-1978) to a visiting diplomat
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The theoretical broadening which comes from having many
humanities subjects on the campus is offset by the general dopiness of
the people who study these things ... - Richard Feynman
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Anyone who conducts an argument by appealing to
Authority is not using his intelligence, he is just using his memory. -
Leonardo da Vinci, 1452-1519
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"p-values are dangerous, especially large, small, and
in-between ones." - Frank E Harrell Jr., Prof. of Biostatistics and
Department Chair, Vanderbilt University
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The great tragedy of science - the slaying of a
beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact. - Thomas H. Huxley
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Rule of Scarcity - If it's not allocated by a market,
then it's more expensive than money. - unknown
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Those are my principles. If you don't like them I have
others. - Groucho Marx
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Do not put your faith in what statistics say until you
have carefully considered what they do not say. - William W. Watt
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The quickest way to end a war is to lose it. - George
Orwell
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First, do no harm. (Primum non nocere.)
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When you're talkin', you ain't learnin' nothin'.
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"The sciences do not try to explain, they hardly even
try to interpret, they mainly make models. By a model is meant a
mathematical construct which, with the addition of certain verbal
interpretations, describes observed phenomena. The justification
of such a mathematical construct is solely and precisely that it is
expected to work." - John von Neumann
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Confidence is contagious. So is lack of
confidence. - Vince Lombardi
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"I have yet to see any problem, however complicated, which,
when you looked at it in the right way, did not become still more complicated." - Poul Anderson
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If you optimize everything, you will always be unhappy.
- Donald Knuth
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If an exchange between two parties is voluntary, it will
not take place unless both believe they will benefit from it. Most
economic fallacies derive from the neglect of this simple insight, from
the tendency to assume that there is a fixed pie, that one party can
only gain at the expense of another. - Milton Friedman
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A cynic knows the price of everything but the value of
nothing. - Oscar Wilde
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The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over
and over again and expecting a new result. - Albert Einstein
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The laws of mathematics are not merely human inventions
or creations. They simply are; they exist quite independently of
the human intellect. The most that any(one) ... can do is to find that
they are there and to take cognizance of them. - Maurits Escher
- Simply not understanding the nature of the assumptions being made
does not mean that they do not exist. - Ildiko Frank and Jerome Freidman,
"A Statistical View of some Chemometrics Regression Tools,"
Technometrics, V35, N2, 1993, p 110)
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"A learning experience is one of those things that says,
'You know that thing you just did? Don't do that.' " - Douglas
Adams
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Tact is the art of making a point without making an
enemy. - Sir Isaac Newton
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"It is no crime to be ignorant of economics, which is,
after all, a specialized discipline and one that most people consider to
be a 'dismal science.' But it is totally irresponsible to have a
loud and vociferous opinion on economic subjects while remaining in this
state of ignorance." - Murray Rothbard, (Making Economic Sense, 1995)
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Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance.
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"When the only tool you own is a hammer, every problem
begins to resemble a nail." - Abraham Maslow
- "Let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we
have to fear is fear itself - nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror
which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat to advance."- Franklin
Delano Roosevelt
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"No man is good enough to govern another man without
that other's consent." - Abraham Lincoln
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"Enlighten the people generally, and tyranny and
oppressions of body and mind will vanish like evil spirits at the dawn
of day." - Thomas Jefferson
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He heard on the news that obesity is now considered a disease. So he called in fat. (Shoe
Thursday, November 11, 2004)
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"Cursive writing does not mean what I think it means." - Bart Simpson (writing on the blackboard after school)
- "The difference between the right word and the almost right word is the difference between lightning and a lightning bug." - Mark Twain
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The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits. - Albert Einstein
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"A liberal is a man too broadminded to take his own side in a quarrel." - Robert Frost